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InvestorGuide Daily Newsletter Daily Newsletter — 10/28/2008
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Market Summary Market News Market Analysis Earnings Upgrades/Downgrades

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Market Summary
Wall Street staged a recovery on Tuesday as investors scooped up bargains and anticipated another rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shot up more than 880 points and came off a 5-year low. Broader stock indicators also bounced higher. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index added 91.59 points and the Nasdaq added 143.57 points. The market initially fluctuated after the Conference Board said its index of consumer confidence has fallen to 38 in October. Analysts were expecting a reading of 51. By mid-afternoon trading, investors were looking beyond this news and pushing the market higher on bets that the Federal Reserve will announce additional interest rate cuts on Wednesday. A recovery in global markets also gave investors a boost of confidence. In corporate news, U.S. Steel (X: Charts, News, Offers) announced that profits more than tripled in the third-quarter. Whirlpool (WHR: Charts, News, Offers) reported a decline in third-quarter profits and said it will cut 5,000 jobs by the end of the year. U.S. light crude oil for December delivery fell 60 cents to $62.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Treasury prices slumped, raising the yield on the 10-year note to 3.77% from 3.68% late Monday. The dollar gained versus the euro and the yen.
More Markets Data

Market News
Whirlpool Corp. (WHR: Charts, News, Offers) said Tuesday it is eliminating about 5,000 jobs this year and next, due in large part to the long downturn in the U.S. housing market. The nation's largest home appliance maker also reported that its earnings fell 7 percent during the third quarter on lower global unit volumes and higher material costs. Whirlpool lowered its earnings outlook for the year and announced price increases. Company officials received more sobering news Tuesday upon learning that consumer confidence had plunged to its lowest level on record. The Conference Board reported that its index dropped to 38 in October from 61.4 in September. That bunker mentality makes it more likely shoppers will retrench further, throwing the economy into a tailspin. (Source: Yahoo! Finance) Full Story

Google (GOOG: Charts, News, Offers) has settled a three-year class action lawsuit with authors and publishers, paving the way for more books to be available online. The Internet giant agreed to pay $125 million to cover legal fees incurred by the lawsuit as well as to set up the Book Rights Registry, a not-for-profit that will work with authors, publishers and other rightsholders to ensure they receive any money owed to them for their works under the agreement. The settlement is subject to approval by the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York. If approved, the agreement will allow readers in the U.S. to search through millions of in-copyright books, including hard-to-find out-of print works, and preview them online. It will also give them the option to purchase online access to many of these books. (Source: TheStreet) Full Story

Boeing Co. (BA: Charts, News, Offers) and its striking Machinists union have agreed to a tentative four-year labor deal that could end a 53-day walkout that has shut the company’s commercial airp*** factories, cut into profits and delayed jet deliveries. The union representing 27,000 production workers in Washington state, Oregon and Kansas went on strike Sept. 6 after rejecting a final contract offer by the company. Sticking points were job security and health benefits. More than 90 percent of members are expected to vote on the agreement, reached late Monday, in the next three to five days. Members of the Machinists union walked off the job even as the economy slid into turmoil and credit markets froze. The seven-week strike is their fourth against Boeing in two decades and has cost Boeing an estimated $100 million a day in deferred revenue and pushed back scheduled deliveries of its commercial airp***s, including its long-awaited 787 jetliner. (Source: MSNBC) Full Story


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Market Analysis
Three months ago, the world was running out of oil. Seriously. I kid you not. Everywhere you turned, you heard whispers that the day of petroleum reckoning was at hand. Now there's too much oil, prodding OPEC to cut production targets for the first time in two years. Last week, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, confronted with the halving of oil prices since July, announced a 1.5 million barrel-a-day cut in output. World markets greeted the news of reduced oil supply by pushing prices down further. Crude oil fell $3.69 a barrel Friday to $64.15. Yesterday, oil dropped another 93 cents to $63.22, a 17-month low. How quickly things change. Or do they? All speculative bubbles have a kernel of truth behind them to justify their existence. This time around it was China and India. These emerging Asian giants were gobbling up all the commodities the world could produce to fuel their rapid industrialization. (Source: Bloomberg) Full Story

Is the market and economic turmoil nothing more than a crisis of confidence? To listen to Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson, you might think so. "At the root of the problem is a loss of confidence by investors and the public in the strength of key financial institutions and markets," Bernanke told the Economic Club of New York on Oct. 15. On Oct. 20, Paulson went further, explaining the bank recapitalization program this way: "Our purpose is to increase confidence in our banks and increase the confidence of our banks so that they will deploy, not hoard, their capital. And we expect them to do so, as increased confidence will lead to increased lending." (Source: BusinessWeek) Full Story

It is hard to imagine that markets are not being affected by the potential for major changes in U.S. tax policy. Sen. Obama says he wants tax rates back where they were in 2000, while Sen. McCain says he wants to keep income tax rates down to a maximum of 35%. With both the House and Senate under Democratic control, Obama will have an easier time following through on his plans than McCain. Obama has also said he wants to push up tax rates on investment and does not agree that corporate tax rates should be cut. Obama's proposals would not only harm the investment landscape, but they would also make the tax system substantially more "progressive." In particular, Obama wants to raise taxes on "the rich," but "cut" taxes for 95% of Americans. He does this by giving $500 to anyone who is in the workforce and earns between $8,000 and $75,000 per year. In addition, he would use tax credits to further subsidize daycare, college and unwed (working) parents. (Source: Forbes.com) Full Story

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On This Date
October 28, 1997: Total New York Stock Exchange volume exceeds 1 billion shares for the first time, as the DJIA gains a record 337 points after losing 554 points the previous day.

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Notable Quotable
A stockbroker urged me to buy a stock that would triple its value every year. I told him, 'At my age, I don't even buy green bananas.' -Claude Pepper

Previous Newsletters
October 27, 2008
October 24, 2008
October 23, 2008
October 22, 2008
October 21, 2008
Today's Reported Earnings
Company (Symbol) Reported Expected Last Year
Art Technology Group (ARTG) 0.03 0.02 0.02
Boyd Gaming (BYD) 0.16 0.19 0.43
BP (BP) 2.84 2.35
Ceradyne (CRDN) 1.04 1.11 1.38
Entergy (ETR) 2.5 2.52 2.3
Estee Lauder Companies (EL) 0.26 0.22 0.2
Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO) -0.01 0 -0.08
McGraw-Hill Companies (MHP) 1.28 1.22 1.34
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) 2.78 2.71 1.45
TASER (TASR) 0.01 0 0.09
USX (X) 7.79 7.09 2.5
Valero Energy (VLO) 1.86 1.54 1.4
Whirlpool (WHR) 2.15 1.69 2.2
View more earnings releases by date or by company here

Tomorrow's Expected Earnings
Company (Symbol) Expected Last Year
Aetna (AET) 1.12 0.97
AGCO (AG) 0.78 0.77
American Capital Strategies (ACAS) 0.7 0.81
Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings (CME) 3.98 4.31
Constellation Energy Group (CEG) 0.92 1.45
Corning (GLW) 0.44 0.38
Garmin (GRMN) 0.84 0.89
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) 0.09 0.08
Kellogg Company (K) 0.8 0.76
Kraft Foods (KFT) 0.43 0.44
MetLife (MET) 0.89 1.52
MGM MIRAGE (MGM) 0.31 0.62
Newmont Mining Corporation (Holding Company) (NEM) 0.42 0.72
Procter & Gamble Company (PG) 0.99 0.9
Prudential Financial (PRU) 1.05 1.97
Qwest Communications (Q) 0.1 0.14
Sanmina-SCI (SANM) 0.05 0.02
Sony (SNE) 0.27
Suncor Energy (SU) 0.93 1.27
Symantec (SYMC) 0.35 0.29

Top Analyst Upgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Fidelity National Info Services DA Davidson Buy
Check Point Software Technologies Morgan Keegan Outperform
HealthSouth Avondale Partners Market Outperform
Zoran Corp. Lazard Capital Markets Buy
Plum Creek Timber Company DA Davidson Buy
Badger Meter Gabelli & Co. Buy
Badger Meter Gabelli & Co. Buy
Old National Bancorp Sandler O'Neill Hold
Huntington Bancshares Sandler O'Neill Hold
Corn Products BB&T Capital Buy
L-1 Identity Solutions J.P. Morgan Neutral
Choice Hotels J.P. Morgan Neutral
Marvel Entertainment Soleil Securities Buy
Pulte Homes Citi Buy
Air France Citi Buy
Ryanair Citi Buy
PepsiAmericas UBS Buy
China Telecom UBS Buy
Boardwalk Pipeline Deutsche Bank Buy
Top Analyst Downgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Harmonic CL King Accumulate
Sherwin-Williams J.P Morgan Neutral
AerCap J.P. Morgan Neutral
Lamar Advertising Caris & Co. Below Average
Ralcorp Holdings Credit Suisse Neutral
The AES Corp Citi Hold
CGG Veritas Jefferies & Co Hold
ION Geophysical Jefferies & Co Hold
PCTEL Baird Neutral
Crane Merrill Lynch Underperform
Embarq UBS Neutral
Ramco-Gershenson Properties Trust RBC Capital Underperform
Rigel Pharmaceuticals RBC Capital Sector Perform
Nokia Corp. Goldman Sachs Sell
LM Ericsson Telephone Co. Goldman Sachs Sell
National City Keefe, Bruyette and Woods Market Perform
AmeriCredit Corp. Keefe, Bruyette and Woods Underperform

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