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InvestorGuide Daily Newsletter Daily Newsletter — 10/16/2008
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Market Summary Market News Market Analysis Earnings Upgrades/Downgrades

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Market Summary
Stocks advanced late on Thursday after oil reached its lowest level since 2007 and investors scooped up battered shares. Stocks tumbled earlier in the session after a number of companies including Merrill Lynch (MER: Charts, News, Offers) and Citigroup (C: Charts, News, Offers) reported record losses. A weak manufacturing report, which showed the largest decline in 34 years, also pulled the market lower. Investors appeared optimistic and pushed the market higher after the Labor Department reported a better-than-expected reading on consumer prices. The September Consumer Price Index (CPI) was flat versus the 0.1% rise economists expected. The government also reported that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits declined by 16,000. In corporate news, eBay (EBAY: Charts, News, Offers) reported better-than-expected quarterly profit, but issued a warning about fourth quarter results. General Motors (GM: Charts, News, Offers) announced that it would lay off 1,500 workers from factories in Michigan and Delaware. Lending rates continue to improve, but remained elevated. The TED spread declined to 4.11% from 4.31% late Wednesday. Oil prices fell $4.65 to settle at $69.85 after an inventory report showed a larger gain in supplies. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies and gold prices fell $34.50 to $804.50 an ounce.
More Markets Data

Market News
Hershey (HSY: Charts, News, Offers), the nation's second-largest candymaker, on Thursday reported higher profits and sales, helped as costs from a major restructuring project subsided and customers ordered extra shipments to beat a price increase in August. However, The Hershey Co.'s margins are still being squeezed by high commodity costs and heavy spending to try to revive two years of flat sales, and it said its sales volumes will be hurt by the August price increase. In the three months ended Sept. 28, Hershey said it doubled its earnings to $124.5 million, or 54 cents a share, on revenue of $1.49 billion. (Source: Yahoo! Finance) Full Story

Citigroup's (C: Charts, News, Offers) losing streak continued after reporting a $2.8 billion loss Thursday, as the bank found itself stung yet again by credit and mortgage-related writedowns. During the third quarter, the company said it lost $2.8 billion, or 60 cents a share. A year ago, the company reported a profit of $2.21 billion, or 44 cents a share. This marked the fourth-consecutive loss for Citigroup, the nation's largest bank by assets. The company has lost more than $20 billion in the past four quarters. The latest results, however, were somewhat encouraging as the loss was smaller-than-expected. Analysts were expecting a loss of 70 cents a share, according to Thomson Reuters. (Source: CNN Money) Full Story

Merrill Lynch (MER: Charts, News, Offers) Thursday reported a loss from continuing operations of $5.1 billion, or $5.56 a share, compared with a year-earlier loss from continuing operations of $2.4 billion, or $2.99 a share. The net loss in the quarter was $5.2 billion, or $5.58 a share. A year earlier the firm reported a loss of $2.2 billion. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected Merrill to report a loss of $5.22 a share in the third quarter. Merrill said results in the latest quarter included a $2.5 billion nontax deductible payment to Temasek Holdings related to a common stock offering, and a $425 million expense, including a $125 million fine, from Merrill's settlement with regulators over auction rate securities. (Source: TheStreet) Full Story


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Market Analysis
The late Senator Russell Long used to say that the core truth of tax policy was "Don't tax you, don't tax me, tax the fellow behind the tree." Substitute political blame for the financial meltdown for taxes, and you will understand what Senator Chris Dodd is attempting today with his Banking Committee hearing on the causes of the panic. In February 2004, while Republican colleagues warned of the systemic risks posed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Mr. Dodd pronounced the mortgage market "one of the great success stories of all time." A year later, the Connecticut Democrat voted against a reform that would have limited the size of Fan and Fred's mortgage portfolios. Now that Fan and Fred have collapsed at a cost to taxpayers that could run to $200 billion or more, Mr. Dodd is also under fire for accepting sweetheart loans from Countrywide Financial, the subprime mortgage factory. (Source: Wall Street Journal) Full Story

Amid the chaos of recent days, as the federal government has taken gargantuan steps to stabilize the financial markets, realigning the U.S. economic system in the process, comes a nearly universal consensus: This crisis resulted from government reluctance to regulate the unbridled greed of Wall Street. Many economists and market participants who were formerly averse to government interference agree that a more robust regulatory framework must be constructed to cage the destructive forces of capitalism. For the political left, which has long championed the need for such limits, this crisis is the opportunity of a lifetime. Absent from such conclusions is the central role the government played in creating the crisis. Yes, many Wall Street leaders were irresponsible, and they should pay. (Source: Washington Post) Full Story

Anyone who lost money in the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEH: Charts, News, Offers) should probably be reaching for their lawyers about now. Our money -- yours and mine -- is now keeping the global financial system afloat. In a capitulation that beggars belief, governments all around the world have pledged our money -- yours and mine -- to fund a "No Bank Left Behind'' program. And no matter what the politicians say, that means our money -- yours and mine -- is now at risk in the casino. So the decision to let Lehman go to the wall last month looks increasingly like (a) an experiment in brinkmanship gone wrong (b) a worthless sacrifice to the angry gods of moral hazard (c) the biggest mistake that the authorities have made during the current crisis (d) all of the above. (Source: Bloomberg) Full Story

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On This Date
October 16, 1997: GTE offers $28 billion to acquire MCI, which shocks the telecommunications industry.

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Previous Newsletters
October 15, 2008
October 14, 2008
October 13, 2008
October 10, 2008
October 9, 2008
Today's Reported Earnings
Company (Symbol) Reported Expected Last Year
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 0.07 -0.4 -0.49
Bank of New York Company (BK) 0.79 0.66 0.73
BB&T (BBT) 0.64 0.65 0.84
Capital One Financial (COF) 1 1.01 -0.21
Citigroup (C) -0.6 -0.7 0.47
Evergreen Solar (ESLR) -0.18 -0.1 -0.04
Google (GOOG) 4.92 4.76 3.91
Hershey Foods (HSY) 0.64 0.65 0.68
International Business Machines (IBM) 2.05 2.03 1.68
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 1.44 1.27 0.95
Merrill Lynch (MER) -5.56 -5.22 -2.85
Nokia (NOK) 0.33 0.33 0.4
Peabody Energy (BTU) 1.38 0.87 0.12
PPG Industries (PPG) 1.37 1.28 1.34
Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) 1.5 1.27 1.55
Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) 0.09 0.07 0.21
Textron (TXT) 0.85 0.87 0.95
United Technologies (UTX) 1.36 1.32 1.17
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 0.73 0.73 0.95
View more earnings releases by date or by company here

Tomorrow's Expected Earnings
Company (Symbol) Expected Last Year
Amcol (ACO) 0.64 0.59
Comerica (CMA) 0.27 1.17
Downey Financial (DSL) -4.94 -0.84
First Tennessee National (FHN) -0.15 -0.11
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) 0.78 0.76
Honeywell (HON) 0.95 0.81
iGATE (IGTE) 0.14 0.08
NVR (NVR) 7.22 15.26
Overstock.com (OSTK) -0.26 -0.2
Schlumberger (SLB) 1.25 1.09
V.F. Corporation (VFC) 2.03 1.86
Wilmington Trust (WL) 0.42 0.67

Top Analyst Upgrades
Company Analyst Rating
CEMEX Merrill Lynch Neutral
Rogers Communications Inc. Merrill Lynch Buy
Zep BB&T Capital Buy
eBay Cantor Fitzgerald Hold
Landstar System Inc. Avondale Partners Market Outperform
Ormat Technologies Avondale Partners Market Outperform
Forest Laboratories Lazard Capital Buy
PPL Corp. Davenport Buy
Amedisys UBS Buy
The Manitowoc Company Gabelli & Co. Buy
PetroQuest Energy Jefferies & Co. Buy
Westfield Financial Stifel Nicolaus Buy
Berkshire Hills Bancorp Stifel Nicolaus Hold
Novellus Systems Soleil Securities Buy
Energen Corp Citi Buy
NiSource Inc Citi Buy
Wells Fargo Morgan Stanley Overweight
Barclays Citi Hold
Ecolab Goldman Sachs Buy
Novartis AG Merrill Lynch Buy
Carrizo Oil & Gas Jefferies & Co Buy
Anadarko Petroleum Jefferies & Co Buy
Jackson Hewitt Morgan Stanley Overweight
TELUS Merrill Lynch Buy
Shire plc Merrill Lynch Buy
sanofi-aventis Merrill Lynch Buy
GlaxoSmithKline Merrill Lynch Neutral
Archer-Daniels Midland Merrill Lynch Buy
Top Analyst Downgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Tyco Electronics Collins Stewart Sell
Cross Country Healthcare Longbow Research Neutral
Entercom Communications Corp. Stanford Group Sell
Cumulus Media Stanford Group Sell
Dune Energy Jefferies & Co. Hold
BPZ Resources Jefferies & Co. Hold
StealthGas Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Rowan Companies Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Pioneer Drilling Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Noble Corp. Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Diamond Offshore Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Hercules Offshore Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Parker Drilling Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Allis-Chalmers Energy Morgan Keegan Market Perform
MDU Resources Group Citi Hold
Basic Energy Services Morgan Keegan Market Perform
FPL Group Citi Hold
eBay Piper Jaffray Neutral
Anglo American Goldman Sachs Neutral
ATP Oil & Gas Jefferies Hold
BPZ Resources Jefferies & Co Hold
Telefonica Bernstein Market Perform
STMicroelectronics Credit Suisse Underperform
Microsoft Canaccord Adams Hold
Zygo Corp. Maxim Group Hold
Molex Collins Stewart Sell

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