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InvestorGuide Daily Newsletter Daily Newsletter — 7/18/2008
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Market Summary Market News Market Analysis Earnings Upgrades/Downgrades
Market Summary
Stocks closed mixed on Friday following the rally generated from upbeat expectations from both Wednesday and Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 49.91 points, closing at 11,496.57. The Standard & Poor's 500 index increased by 0.36 points before closing at 1,260.68. The Nasdaq, however, decreased by 29.52 points before settling at 2,282.78. Among the declines in the Nasdaq today came reports from tech giants, Google (GOOG: Charts, News, Offers), Microsoft (MSFT: Charts, News, Offers), and Advanced Micro Designs (AMD: Charts, News, Offers) where the weakening economy has affected these companies. For Advanced Micro Designs, the announcement of their CEO stepping down marked difficult times indeed. Other stocks in the news included Citigroup (C: Charts, News, Offers) having beat investor expectations, yet still posting a Q2 loss. The US dollar responded today by closing slightly higher against the euro and the yen, relative to light sweet crude closing slightly higher for the weekend. Gold prices edged lower today despite oil’s slight increase.
More Markets Data

Market News
In the last three days oil prices have fallen by roughly $10 a barrel. Many analysts say slackening demand, or the threat of it, is the main culprit. But another force could be at work in the background. Last week various analysts said there was talk that Mexico, the world's fifth largest oil producer, was hedging its bets - the country was said to be signing contracts to deliver oil several years into the future at today's prices. Essentially, it was betting oil prices have peaked. (Source: Yahoo! Finance) Full Story

California, Florida and Texas, the U.S. states with the most Starbucks Corp (SBUX: Charts, News, Offers) stores, will see the most shuttered as the coffee chain axes more than 600 underperforming outlets in the coming year. Starbucks is closing 88 locations in California, a loss of 5 percent based on store counts as of the end of March. According to a list of store closures released on Thursday, Florida will lose 59 stores, or nearly 14 percent of overall outlets, while the coffee seller's move to shutter 57 Texas locations will lower store counts there by 11 percent. (Source: Reuters) Full Story

Stock prices wavered Friday but failed to hang onto gains as oil prices swung back up. Disappointing earnings reports from tech companies outweighed positive news from Citigroup (C: Charts, News, Offers). About three hours into the session, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite was sharply lower, falling 1.6%. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped less than 0.1%, and the broader Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 0.4% from Thursday's close. (Source: CNN Money) Full Story


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Featured Article from the InvestorGuide University
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Market Analysis
This article first appeared in Kiplinger's. Talk about a fall from grace. Legg Mason Value managed by the once-revered Bill Miller, has performed so poorly the past 2.5 years that Morningstar now gives the fund 1 star, our lowest rating. This year, the fund has lost an atrocious 35% of its value. We took the fund off our Analyst Picks list in 2003 when it was still riding high because its high expense ratio was way too steep even with his record. Still, we've remained positive about Miller and his approach despite the dismal returns since then. Should it really come as a surprise that Miller, who was once the talk of the investing world because he beat the stock market 15 consecutive calendar years, has hit a rough patch? No. The streak merely masked Miller's bold approach to stock-picking, a strategy that was sure to run out of steam at some point. Not that one would have expected this steep a drop. (Source: Yahoo! Finance) Full Story

"Legacy'' has acquired a different meaning at some of Wall Street's largest firms: Whatever we are stuck with that's dragging down our earnings. This definition isn't found in Webster's New World College Dictionary. The fourth edition offers two alternatives: "money or property left to someone by a will; bequest'' and "anything handed down from, or as from, an ancestor.'' Citigroup Inc. (C: Charts, News, Offers), the biggest U.S. bank by assets, began the trend two months ago by introducing a legacy classification for about $500 billion of securities and units. The phrase "legacy assets'' was headlined in the company's second-quarter earnings release, which showed a smaller loss -- $2.5 billion -- for the period than most analysts had estimated. (Source: Bloomberg) Full Story

A day and a half’s stock rally of 350-plus points (it is 1 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time as I write this) does not a rebound make. Plenty of weary investors are itching to sell on these little spikes. I will, however, point out some good news. The good news is, nobody believes in good news anymore. Four newspapers hit my driveway each morning: The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, the Financial Times, and USA Today. (Source: Forbes.com) Full Story

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Market Overview
DJIA 11,496.57 +49.91
S&P 1,260.68 +0.36
NASDAQ 2,282.78 -29.52
10Yr 4.081% +0.043
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On This Date
July 18, 1997: Lucent Technologies offers $1.8 billion to acquire Octel Communications, a maker of voicemail systems.

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Notable Quotable
Always borrow money from a pessimist. He doesn't expect to be paid back. - Anonymous

Previous Newsletters
July 18, 2008
July 17, 2008
July 16, 2008
July 15, 2008
July 14, 2008
Today's Reported Earnings
Company (Symbol) Reported Expected Last Year
Amcol (ACO) 0.58 0.51 0.49
Citigroup (C) -0.49 -0.66 1.24
Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company (GAP) -0.48 -0.41 -0.2
Honeywell (HON) 0.96 0.94 0.78
iGATE (IGTE) 0.15 0.11 0.06
Manpower (MAN) 1.52 1.5 1.2
Mattel (MAT) 0.03 0.02 0.11
Overstock.com (OSTK) -0.28 -0.28 -0.57
Satyam Computer Services (SAY) 0.38 0.37 0.27
Schlumberger (SLB) 1.16 1.12 1.02
Wilmington Trust (WL) 0.47 0.49 0.7
View more earnings releases by date or by company here

Tomorrow's Expected Earnings
Company (Symbol) Expected Last Year
Apple (AAPL) 1.08 0.92
Bank of America (BAC) 0.53 1.28
Boston Scientific (BSX) 0.11 0.08
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) 0.86 0.86
Cemex S.A.B. de C.V. (CX) 0.73 0.83
Equifax (EFX) 0.62 0.57
Hasbro (HAS) 0.22 0.24
Hercules (HPC) 0.43 0.4
Hexcel (HXL) 0.24 0.18
Logitech (LOGI) 0.19 0.14
Merck & Company (MRK) 0.83 0.82
NVR (NVR) 7.69 14.14
QLogic (QLGC) 0.29 0.15
SanDisk (SNDK) 0.13 0.12
Schering-Plough (SGP) 0.41 0.41
Steel Dynamics (STLD) 0.93 0.51
Texas Instruments (TXN) 0.46 0.42
Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) -0.6 -0.9
Weatherford (WFT) 0.45 0.68
Zoran (ZRAN) 0.15 0.24

Top Analyst Upgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Honeywell International Sterne Agee Buy
US Bancorp Hilliard Lyons Buy
Advance Auto Parts RBC Capital Top Pick
Range Resources Stifel Nicolaus Buy
Virginia Commerce Bancorp Davenport Buy
Ralcorp Holdings Longbow Research Buy
Cubic Corp BB&T Capital Buy
USA Truck BB&T Capital Hold
Citigroup Deutache Bank Neutral
SunPower Broadpoint Capital Buy
PNC Financial Services Deutsche Bank Hold
WPP Group Citi Buy
Colonial BancGroup, Inc. JP Morgan Overweight
XTO Energy Stifel Nicolaus Buy
Valmont Industries Sterne Agee Buy
Nucor CIBC Sector Outperform
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. Credit Suisse Outperform
ValueClick ThinkPanmure Accumulate
HCP Goldman Sachs Buy
Yum! Brands Wachovia Outperform
Dr. Reddy's Goldman Sachs Buy
National Grid UBS Buy
Werner Enterprises J.P. Morgan Neutral
Aventine Renewable Energy UBS Buy
Verasun UBS Buy
UAL JP Morgan Overweight
Top Analyst Downgrades
Company Analyst Rating
ViroPharma Stanford Group Hold
SemGroup Energy Partners Today, Wachovia Underperform
ValueClick Stanford Group Hold
Gilead Sciences BMO Capital Market Perform
Gilead Sciences BMO Capital Market Perform
TD Ameritrade Raymond James Market Perform
Avocent ThinkPanmure Accumulate
Tim Hortons Credit Suisse Neutral
Merrill Lynch Fox-Pitt Underperform
Google ThinkPanmure Accumulate
Huntington Bancshares Fox-Pitt In Line
ValueClick Citi Hold
SemGroup Energy Partners LP Citi Hold
Novartis AG Societe General Hold
Somanetics Corp Citi Hold
Mission West Properties Stifel Nicolaus Sell
International Game Technology Inc Citi Hold
Ashford Hospitality Trust Morgan Keegan Market Perform
Allergan Inc Citi Hold
TD Ameritrade BMO Capital Market Perform
Macerich Goldman Sachs Neutral
Brookfield Properties Goldman Sachs Neutral
Best Buy RBC Capital Outperform
Sunoco Sanford C. Bernstein Market Perform
International Game Technology Oppenheimer Perform
Gilead Sciences Jefferies & Co Hold
Tesoro Sanford C. Bernstein Market Perform
Virtusa J.P. Morgan Neutral

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