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InvestorGuide Daily Newsletter Recommend this newsletter to friends! Daily Newsletter -- 8/3/2007
Market Summary Market News Market Analysis Earnings Upgrades/Downgrades
Market Summary
Equities declined sharply today, especially in the last couple of hours, as a number of traders choose to unwind their positions rather than carry them into the weekend. The blue chip heavy DJIA fell 2.09% and the broader S&P 500 shed 2.66%. The market was unnerved early in the trading session as the jobs report came in weaker than anticipated. The Labor Department disclosed that only 92,000 jobs were added last month (the street was expecting 130,000). But then worries about the credit market were sharply brought into focus again as the credit-rating agency Standard & Poors (S&P) cut its outlook on Bear Stearns (BSC: Charts, News, Offers) from 'stable' to 'negative'. The investment bank has suffered from some bad bets in the subprime mortgage market and some fear that its exposure to this sector is uncomfortably high. This is probably the case with other Wall Street banks too. The market rebounded a bit during mid-day trading but then went sharply lower during and after a Bear Stearns conference call which started at 2PM Eastern during which the company's CFO said that the current credit market conditions are the worst that he has seen in 22 years. Investors are nervous about the fact that deals are getting held up by the choppy credit conditions and are also concerned that investments backed by mortgage bonds could face further valuation pressures. Bond prices rose, as money flowed to fixed income from equities, while the dollar was weaker against the euro and the yen.
More Markets Data

Market News
Bear Stearns (BSC: Charts, News, Offers) said Friday that it is weathering the worst storm in financial markets in more than 20 years after a major rating company warned mortgage credit problems could hurt the investment bank's profits. Bear Stearns' chief financial officer said the shockwaves hitting lending markets, triggered by rising mortgage losses, were as bad as crises such as the Internet bubble bursting in 2001 or the 1998 collapse of hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management. "These times are pretty significant in the fixed-income market," CFO Sam Molinaro said on a conference call with analysts. "It's as been as bad as I've seen it in 22 years. The fixed-income market environment we've seen in the last eight weeks has been pretty extreme." (Source: USA Today) Full Story

The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.6 percent in July as employers added jobs at the slowest rate in five months and the government actually reduced its workforce, the Labor Department said on Friday. In another sign of slowing growth, the Institute for Supply Management reported the service sector grew more slowly in July as its index fell to 55.8 from 60.7 in June. (Source: Reuters) Full Story

Ford Motor Co. (F: Charts, News, Offers) said Friday it is recalling 3.6 million passenger cars, trucks, sport utility vehicles and vans to address concerns about a cruise control switch that has led to previous recalls based on reports of fires. Ford said the recall covered more than a dozen vehicle models built from 1992-2007. The company said it was responding to concerns from owners about the safety of their cars and questions about the speed control deactivation switch in the vehicles that is powered at all times. (Source: MSNBC) Full Story


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Market Analysis
Who says the U.S. has a trade deficit with the rest of the world? Classical economic doctrine holds that nations compete by producing and exporting what they make best, while importing from other countries those goods where they lack comparative advantage. The tally of exports and imports results in either a trade surplus, thought to be good, or a deficit, considered bad. Today that 200-year-old theory is flawed, misleading and overly simplistic. And when policymakers insist on reducing the way countries economically interact to a single figure -- the trade balance -- it is dangerous, especially when it unleashes the specter of protectionism. (Source: Bloomberg) Full Story

After General Motors (GM: Charts, News, Offers) and Ford (F: Charts, News, Offers) posted better-than-expected quarterly profits through June 30 it was perhaps inevitable that Toyota Motor (TM: Charts, News, Offers) would announce similarly strong gains. After all, when it comes to beating expectations, few companies can match Toyota, the world's most profitable automaker. Yet even by Toyota's high standards, the company's quarterly results, revealed Aug. 3 in Tokyo, were impressive. Despite weak sales in Japan, overall revenues increased 15.7%, to a record $55.7 billion. Earnings grew even faster. (Source: BusinessWeek) Full Story

I'm glad Rupert Murdoch is buying Dow Jones (DJ: Charts, News, Offers). He is likely to be a far more responsive steward of the Wall Street Journal brand and a more aggressive marketer of its news than the paper has had. In the fundamentally-changed Internet era of media, the Journal has been waning, and without radical change would likely decline further in both quality and impact. But now radical change has come. So why can Murdoch, apparently alone among moguls and media colossi, confidently pay so much for Dow Jones? Because he has run his own media company better than almost any other and has diligently worked to understand what it means to run a media property in the Internet age. His signature Web property, MySpace, is the most trafficked U.S. destination. News Corp. President Peter Chernin said this week that its revenues are on track to "approach one billion" in the just-begun News Corp. fiscal year. (Source: Fortune) Full Story

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Previous Newsletters
August 2, 2007
August 1, 2007
July 31, 2007
July 30, 2007
July 27, 2007
Today's Reported Earnings
Company (Symbol) Reported Expected Last Year
KeySpan (KSE) -- $0.20 $0.28
Procter & Gamble (PG) $0.67 $0.66 $0.55
Sprint PCS (PCS) $0.17 $0.13 $0.06
Tsakos Energy Navigation Limit (TNP) $1.96 $1.90 $1.73
Weyerhaeuser (WY) $0.48 $0.38 $1.10

Tomorrow's Expected Earnings
Company (Symbol) Expected Last Year
A.C. Moore Arts & Crafts (ACMR) ($0.04) ($0.04)
BMC Software (BMC) $0.31 $0.27
Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB) $0.19 ($0.16)
j2 Global Communications (JCOM) $0.32 $0.26
Sina (SINA) $0.21 $0.18
TeleTech (TTEC) $0.22 $0.11
Transmeta (TMTA) ($0.08) ($0.04)
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) $0.54 ($0.05)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Advanced Medical Optics Citigroup Hold
AMBAC Fincl Calyon Securities Buy
Amylin Pharms Cowen & Co Neutral
AnnTaylor DA Davidson Buy
Assured Guaranty Calyon Securities Buy
Bankrate Oppenheimer Buy
Bankrate AG Edwards Buy
Cabela\'s Wachovia Outperform
California Water Brean Murray Buy
Capital Corp. of the West RBC Capital Mkts Sector Perform
Citadel Broadcasting Banc of America Sec Neutral
Cox Radio Banc of America Sec Neutral
DaVita Piper Jaffray Market Perform
Dynamics Research BB&T Capital Mkts Hold
Eagle Bulk Shipping Wachovia Outperform
EDO Corp Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Buy
Ensco Wachovia Outperform
Entercom Banc of America Sec Neutral
Expedia JP Morgan Overweight
Fiserv CIBC Wrld Mkts Sector Outperform
FPIC Insurance Stifel Nicolaus Buy
Gulfmark Offshore CapitalOne southcoast Buy
HNI Corp. Robert W. Baird Neutral
Infinity Pharmaceutical Robert W. Baird Outperform
Insituform Tech Canaccord Adams Hold
KBR Inc. Wachovia Outperform
Lear Robert W. Baird Outperform
Legg Mason Citigroup Buy
Meadowbrook Ins KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Aggressive Buy
Morgans Hotel Group JMP Securities Strong Buy
Network Appliance Citigroup Buy
Nokia Nollenberger Capital Buy
NRG Energy RBC Capital Mkts Sector Perform
OdysseyRe Ferris Baker Watts Buy
ONEOK Citigroup Buy
ONEOK Partners Citigroup Buy
Openwave Needham & Co Hold
PG&E Banc of America Sec Buy
PharmaNet Devlpmt Robert W. Baird Outperform
Primedia Deutsche Securities Buy
Ruddick Corp BB&T Capital Mkts Buy
Sempra Energy Jefferies & Co Buy
Skechers USA First Albany Buy
St. Mary Lnd/Expl KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Buy
Telefonica S.A. Lehman Brothers Equal-weight
Timberland UBS Neutral
TransCanada Pipelines Matrix Research Strong Buy
Transocean Wachovia Outperform
TreeHouse Foods Lehman Brothers Overweight
Trimas KeyBanc Capital Mkts / McDonald Buy
Tyco JP Morgan Overweight
YRC Worldwide Robert W. Baird Neutral
Top Analyst Downgrades
Company Analyst Rating
Alliance Bankshares Stifel Nicolaus Hold
Ashford Hospitality Trust Robert W. Baird Neutral
Asset Acceptance Capital First Analysis Sec Equal-Weight
CheckFree Robert W. Baird Neutral
Circor BMO Capital Markets Market Perform
Clorox Lehman Brothers Equal-weight
Ditech First Albany Underperform
Dow Chemical Matrix Research Buy
Entegris Deutsche Securities Hold
Flamel Merriman Curhan Ford Neutral
GSI Technology Needham & Co Hold
Gulfmark Offshore Jefferies & Co Hold
Heartland Payment Systems Citigroup Hold
Keystone Auto Robert W. Baird Neutral
Luxottica Lehman Brothers Equal-weight
Multi-Fineline Robert W. Baird Neutral
Network Appliance Bear Stearns Underperform
Nortel Charter Equity Mkt Perform
Owens & Minor Credit Suisse Neutral
PNM Resources RBC Capital Mkts Underperform
Portfolio Recovery Assoc. First Analysis Sec Equal-Weight
POZEN Lazard Capital Hold
POZEN Jefferies & Co Hold
Radiation Therapy Services Cowen & Co Neutral
Revlon Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey Neutral
Silicon Image Longbow Neutral
SPSS Inc Cowen & Co Underperform
Talbots Citigroup Sell

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